Biden Campaign COLLAPSING as RIGGED Polls REVEALED to be FAKE!!!
Posted by Steve Turley ● Oct 12, 2020 9:30:56 PM
If rally attendance for each of the candidates were all we had to go by in assessing the state of this election, it would be forecasted as the single biggest blowout in the history of American politics. Perhaps one of the most depressing pictures of late was a photo snapped of the audience in attendance at a Biden rally in Eerie, Pennsylvania; the rally drew only 12 to 20 people, and that included Biden’s staff! It actually gets worse! On Thursday of last week, both Biden and Harris held a campaign event in Phoenix, Arizona; it was touted by the mainstream media as evidence that Biden is making significant inroads into states that Trump won in 2016. However, virtually all of the reporting failed to mention one little inconvenient truth: only eight people showed up to the event! Even a local news reporter had to admit that it was getting pretty boring being out there! By contrast, Mike Pence held a rally in Florida over the same weekend as Biden’s Eerie, PA non-event, and over four thousand people came in support!
Think about it: when your vice-president candidate is drawing infinitely higher crowd sizes than you and your running mate combined can ever hope to draw, you know your campaign is in trouble!
But then what on earth do we do about these polls that show Biden 14 points ahead?
What seems to be going on here is the old Yogi Berra maxim: it’s déjà vu all over again! It’s 2016 all over again, meaning, that we’re seeing a massive discrepancy between the opinion polling as reported by the mainstream media on the one hand and actual voting on the other.
For example, no incumbent has ever lost the general election after receiving 75 percent or more of the votes from their party in the primaries, and President Donald Trump received 94 percent of all votes cast in the 2020 Republican primaries, far exceeding Biden’s primary vote percentage. Indeed, as Helmut Norpoth of Stony Brook University has observed, a sitting president with a superior performance in the primaries compared to the opponent has never lost. That’s why Norpoth – who has developed the single most accurate election forecast model which has predicted rightly 25 of the last 27 elections, going back all the way to 1912 – gives Trump a 91 percent chance of winning reelection, with over 360 electoral votes! So here we have actual voting data derived from a comparison with primary elections and general elections, replete with actual winners, and the results could not possibly be more discrepant from the opinion polls that are being peddled with glee by the mainstream media.
So what’s going on here?
Well, one reason for the discrepancy is that many of these polls are surveys of what are called ‘registered voters’, simply contacting people who have registered to vote. While this is the easiest, quickest, and cheapest way to conduct a poll, the problem here is that half of registered voters don’t vote; so registered voter polls are hardly an accurate assessment of the electorate. Moreover, many polling outlets adjust their results in a manner that inordinately advantages Democrats over Republicans.
But Steve Deace, who analyzed polls for the Ted Cruz campaign in 2016, has uncovered manipulation of numbers that’s far more menacing than disproportionate weighting. He recently conducted a deep dive with the latest Rasmussen poll that has Biden winning by 12 points: 52 percent to Trump’s 40 percent. Now, just to put that poll in perspective, were that 12-point lead true, Biden would be on the cusp of the single biggest Democrat blowout since FDR beat Herbert Hoover in 1932! That would best FDR’s fourth term election in 1944 when he was celebrating the end of World War II in Europe and the end of the Depression! That lead would best Obama’s blowout over McCain in 2008! Interestingly, no mainstream media pundits have yet been bold enough to argue for such a scenario, since it’s so obviously beyond credulity!
And so, Deace dove deeper into the poll methodology, and what he found absolutely shocked him: whoever conducted the poll for Rasmussen, for whatever reason, they are projecting that President Trump is only going to win 76 percent of Republican votes! Again, to put that in historical perspective, in the last seven presidential elections, the lowest percentage that any GOP candidate got of the Republican vote was George H.W. Bush in 1992, when he got 73 percent, and that was with Ross Perot as the spoiler candidate syphoning 20 percent of the vote. By contrast, Trump got 88 percent of the GOP vote in the general election in 2016 (with an active Never-Trumper movement that has since imploded), and 94 percent of the GOP vote in the most recent primaries! Rasmussen apparently offers no explanation whatsoever for why they weighted the poll in such an unjustifiable manner.
As it turns out, Rasmussen – for whatever reason – is pushing a methodologically absurd poll!
With this in mind, Wayne Allyn Root has done a great job of smacking us all back to reality! He wrote a recent piece reminding us that quite literally everything but these flawed mainstream media polls is working in Trump’s favor. The most recent Gallup poll shows that 56 percent of Americans say that they are better off under President Trump than they were four years ago under Obama and Biden. That’s the highest number ever recorded by Gallup! According to the Real Clear Politics aggregate polling, Trump is ahead of where he was at this time in the election against Hillary Clinton back in 2016. And again, all you have to do is look at the rallies: Trump has had over a quarter of a million people attend his rallies since Labor Day! During the same time, Biden has seen a total of just 84 show up!
So all of the metrics outside of these ridiculous opinion polls show an absolute Trump blowout! Which means, as the good old Yogi Berra said, when we compare 2020 to 2016, it truly is déjà vu all over again.