Posted by Steve Turley ● Jun 18, 2018 11:15:14 PM
Nationalist Right Wins in Slovenia!!!
Well, just when you thought things could not get worse for the EU, Brussels received even worse news over the weekend. The anti-immigration Slovenian Democratic Party, which was heavily supported by Hungary’s Viktor Orban, has won their national election with over 25 percent of the vote. It was a snap election, called after the prime minister there resigned a few weeks back. That gave the former prime minister Janez Jansa, who’s the leader of the Slovenian Democratic Party, better known as SDS, the opportunity to put forward a strong ‘Slovenia First’ nationalist populist campaign that clearly reflected the hearts and minds, the sentiments, of a significant percentage of the voting public.
The SDS came in first place with over 25 percent of the vote; they were followed quite far behind by the populist left LMS party with about 12 percent of the vote, and in third place came the Social Democrats with about 10 percent of the vote, which has been par for the course for the European center-left; they are barely getting 10 percent of the vote in European elections. Altogether, there were about 25 parties up for election in Slovenia’s representative parliament, only around nine of them will end up getting a seat.
Since no single party gained a clear majority of seats in Slovenia’s 90-member parliament, so it is going to be hard to put together a coalition, no question about that. The other parties, being thoroughly globalist and liberal, are offended by SDS’s stance on immigration and the like. So there may have to be another round of elections before Slovenia has a functioning government. But that said, analysts are in wide agreement that there’s no question that the so-called far-right or nationalist right SDS has secured a very impressive first-place win, especially in light of Slovenia’s rather center-left history; you have to understand how bad this is for Brussels. Slovenia has up until now been a holdout among the central and eastern European nations, all of which are more and more embracing the so-called far-right or nationalist populist right. Not Slovenia; they have been very reliably center-left, pro-EU, in fact, they were the first of the former communist nations to join the EU.
No more. In fact, the other so-called far-right party is the SNS, the Slovenian National Party, got about 5 percent of the vote; they are a marginal party, but the combination of their support means that 30 percent of the Slovenian electorate has voted for a thoroughly nationalist populist government. There is no question that Slovenia has turned away from the pro-EU, center-left parties and has begun to embrace a government similar to that of Poland and Hungary. Speaking of Hungary, I mentioned earlier, the SDS has the very strong support and endorsement of Hungary’s prime minister Viktor Orban; so this election signals to Brussels a nightmare scenario of Orban’s influence spreading beyond Hungary. Already, the Visegrad Four are solidly united together against Brussels. You have a thoroughly rightwing Austria to lend support. And now you have Slovenia turning towards Orban and away from Brussels. Of course, Janez Jansa, the leader of SDS, is a vocal supporter of Orban. Jansa campaigned in a manner very similar to Orban; on a thoroughly Slovenia First platform. He and his party SDS are solidly pro-border security and stand against the EU’s immigration quotas. Much to Brussels’ dismay, they will be a strong supporter of Viktor Orban and Hungary, and indeed the whole of the Visegrad Four – which, if you do not know, includes Poland, the Czech Republic, and Slovakia – all of whom are currently being sued by the EU over their unwillingness to accept the immigration quotas imposed upon them by Brussels. Well, now they have a new ally in their fight against the EU. Like Viktor Orban and Hungary, the SDS, the Slovenian Democratic Party, believes that the money allocated to support immigrants should be used instead to build security fences around the border. So there is no question that Brussels just got another big headache in the form of a resurgent nationalist right in Slovenia.
Now, many of you in the States may know, but Slovenia is of course the homeland of our first lady, Melania Trump. It is a former republic of Yugoslavia, was considered a relatively moderate nation, politically speaking, in terms of it’s commitment to center-left pro-EU politics. But the Slovenian Democratic Party, the SDS, under the leadership of Janez Janša has, I think along with much of the population in Slovenia, transformed from your standard social-democratic party to a thoroughly pro-nationalist, pro-populist, very traditionalist right-wing political party, standing for conservatism, nationalism and populism. As I mentioned, there is another so-called far-right or nationalist right party called the SNS, the Slovenian National Party, but they do not get much more than about 5 percent of the vote; the SDS is more the mainstream nationalist party; they are a lot like Fidesz in Hungary, they are more dynamic, they are better organized, better financed, so they have been absorbing many of the supporters of SNS, the other nationalist party, since the SNS comes across as a bit peripheral and static and incapable of winning a national election.
The ideology of the SDS is conservative, respecting traditional values and supporting patriotism and nationalism. The SDS’s stated vision from their platform is to protect and defend “European civilization and their common Judeo-Christian heritage,” they strive, “to create the sense of Slovenian national identity” and “patriotism” and to preserve Slovenian “cultural identity”. So this election was just an amazing victory for the continued rise of the nationalist right throughout Europe.
And it is rising indeed. We have noted in previous posts that since the spring of 2010, there have been over a dozen Parliamentary elections throughout Western Europe, and we can see the electoral surge of nationalist populist parties throughout these elections. In March of 2017, Geert Wilder’s Dutch Freedom Party came in second place, up from fifth place a few years prior. We have seen a comparable surge with the Flemish nationalist and secessionist party in Belgian parliamentary elections, along with the rise of the Swedish Democrats and the anti-European party the True Finns. We saw Marine Le Pen double the support of National Front in her recent presidential campaign in France. We have seen the Visegrád Four – Hungary, Poland, Slovakia, and the Czech Republic – all turn to the nationalist populist right. Indeed, back on April 8th of this year, Viktor Orban’s Fidesz Party won a super majority in Hungary which basically forced George Soros to take his Open Society Foundations and his Central European University out of Hungary. We saw the election in Austria where the center-right People’s Party led by the 31-year-old whizz-kid Sebastian Kurz stormed into first place with 31 to 32 percent of the vote, while at the same time the nationalist right Freedom Party came in at 26 percent of the vote, which together represented an overwhelming 60 percent voting coalition. You had the elections in Italy on March 4th where 70 percent of the population voted for nationalist populists represented by Northern League and Five Star, who are now the official government of Italy. You have the rise of the nationalist party Alternative for Germany in their latest rounds of elections; they’re now the second largest party in Germany. I mean we could go on and on And now, of course, Slovenia.
The interesting thing here in Slovenia is that there really should not be a rise of the right. There is no other far-right party that is moving the SDS to the right like what we see in Hungary with the Jobbik Party that’s moved Viktor Orban’s Fidesz Party to the far-right, the nationalist populist right. Slovenia has no other competing nationalist party of significance other than the SDS; like I said, there is the SNS, the Slovenian National Party, but they are not garnering more than five percent of the vote, whereas Jobbik in Hungary can easily get 20 percent; so Fidesz has to be very mindful of them. It is the same thing in Germany, where the rise of the AfD is forcing parties like the Christian Social Union in Bavaria to move farther to the nationalist traditionalist right. Moreover, it is not as though Slovenia is in a financial recession or depression or slump; as I understand it, their economy has been growing quite well, at over 5 percent per year. So, there is not your usual explanation for a mass rejection of the center-left, center-right parties going on here in terms of mere political pressures or economic pressures.
No, what seems to be going on is good old fashioned border security issues that have plagued any and all nations that have gone with Brussels and the EU. Ever since Hungary effectively closed its border, migrants have began moving towards Croatia and Slovenia with the goal of reaching Austria and Germany. There have been over 1,300 trials for illegal entry for just this year alone in Slovenia, which represents four times more than the same period last year. So there’s no question that border security and what we call cultural or existential security are big issues in Slovenia, and the SDS, with the backing of Viktor Orban, was right at the center of these issues. And we will see to what extent Slovenia’s other parties that tend to be linked to the right, such as the European People’s Party and the New Slovenia Party will begin to fully embrace the nationalist populist right as well. That is the next thing to be looking for in terms of a paradigm shift in Slovenia.
Regardless of whether a government can be formed via an effective coalition, yesterday’s vote means one thing, Slovenia has a vibrant nationalist populist right that can score very impressive first place wins, and is just another indicator that a new revitalized Europe, centered on nationalism, populism, and traditionalism, is beginning to rise before our very eyes.