Posted by Steve Turley ● Jul 9, 2019 12:51:51 PM
Alright, it has being widely reported that President Trump’s approval rating has reached the highest it has been in two years; the latest is coming from a Washington Post/ABC News poll that found that Trump has gained five points since their last poll back in April. He currently stands at 47 percent approval, whereas the former-president Barack Obama received only 46 percent. Now this is on top of a recent Harvard/Harris Poll that survey found that 48 percent approve of the job Trump is doing, that is up from 45 percent approval in March. The last time Trump’s approval rating hit the 48 percent mark with this survey was back in June of 2017.
Now the clear impetus for these high approval ratings is the economy, with over 60 percent of those surveyed approving of Trump’s overall approach to employment and almost 60 percent approving of his handling of the economy. Rasmussen, who was one of the more accurate pollsters for the 2016 election, if I recall he predicted Trump’s win. Rasmussen also has Trump at 49 percent approval, and Gallup also had Trump up around the 46 percent approval range. One of the interesting inconvenient truths that Trump haters have had to contend with is that Trump’s approval rating has been consistently higher than Obama’s at the same stage in their respective presidencies. We have to remember that according to the poll aggregate site Real Clear Politics, Obama’s job average approval for both of his terms was less than 50 percent, and so Trump’s numbers are thoroughly comparable to a two-term presidency.
Now keep in mind, this approval rating of Trump’s is all the more stunning given the 24/7 media bombardment of non-stop, relentless negative coverage. The media is actually cheerleading, they’re cheerleading Nancy Pelosi and the Democrats to impeach Trump, and yet, look at his numbers, they refuse to go down to any point that even remotely resembles this 24/7 negative coverage, so what was it? I think one study found that the media game 92 percent negative coverage against Trump. And yet, here he is, with approval ratings sometimes 5 points higher than Obama’s at the same point in his presidency. So what gives? Why are Trump’s approval ratings so high in the midst of 24/7 negative media coverage? Well I think there are at least two factors here, there’s no question that the economy is helping Trump; no question there, but I think there are dynamics operative here that go even deeper.
First, I think the president’s poll numbers are so high relative to the 24/7 negative coverage by the media precisely because less and less Americans actually trust the media. You may remember, but the Washington Examiner published a few months back their findings based on a Zogby Analytics poll that found that over three-quarters of the nation, nearly 80 percent, believes that the media is in fact ‘dividing Americans,’ along political, racial, and gender lines, which they believe is fomenting hate and misunderstanding between these artificially constructed groups. It was one of the most stunning repudiations and condemnations of the press in recent surveys, with less and less Americans trusting the so-called ‘news coverage’ of the mainstream media. So that’s the first thing here, if anything, if anything the 24/7 negative coverage is only helping Trump and hurting the news media, further corroborating the whole notion of fake news.
But there’s something even deeper going on here. We have a recent Harvard/Harris poll that sampled nearly 2 thousand registered voters. It weighted the results for age, gender, region, race and ethnicity and of course political party and ideology, as well as education; which is all pretty standard in order to align their sample with the actual proportions in the national population. And what this study found was that basically 3 in 4 voters evidence political loyalties and sentiments characteristic of President Trump’s nationalist populist America First platform and agenda. They found that 75 percent of those polled supported a nationalist populist political agenda for the nation. When it came to immigration, voters were asked if they would be more or less likely to support a candidate who supported border security in order to protect the jobs of America citizens; an astonishing 75 percent of all voters said they would be more likely to support a candidate who supported that position. When it comes to trade, a total of 65 percent of voters, a supermajority, said they would be more likely to support candidates who wanted to put tariffs on China, as Trump has done. And when it comes to foreign policy, roughly 84 percent of Republicans, more than 60 percent of Democrats, and 76 percent of Independents said they would be more likely to support a candidate that opposes endless foreign wars. This anti-war platform is the most popular among conservative voters, 84 percent of whom said they would be more likely to support a candidate that talks like Trump on foreign policy. And again, an astonishing 70 percent of all voters are more likely to support a candidate that wants to pull American troops out of Syria and Afghanistan, just as President Trump has ordered. So if this latest Harvard/Harris poll is in fact accurately assessing the current political sentiments of the American electorate, I think we can see why Trump has such high approval ratings despite 24/7 negative coverage from the news media. His political platform and policies overlaps with the sentiments of 75 percent of the electorate.
Now of course there’s a discrepancy between these political sentiments and actual voting patterns. Blacks for example are overwhelmingly in favor of immigration curbs and border enforcement, and yet they vote 95 percent of the time, as a national average, for the Democratic candidate most likely to open up the borders to unfettered immigration. Latinos are extremely culturally conservative but vote 70 percent of the time for the party of leftwing radicals, and so obviously there’s a lot of political realigning that needs to happen here between one’s partisan loyalties and one’s political values, but nonetheless, I think we’re seeing an incredibly wide and strong base of support that accounts for Trump’s continued rising in the polls, and I think that this 75 percent support for an America First political agenda will consolidate considerably around Trump in the upcoming 2020 election.
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